In 2017, Uttar Pradesh will go for legislative assembly elections with four major parties vying for a 202 seats majority among 403 Vidhan Sabha seats. Recent demonetisation announcement has built up an enigma around the upcoming Up election 2017. Rest assured, this will won’t be an ordinary election.
The Akhilesh Yadav led ruling Samajwadi Party is on a rocky boat with internal family rifts and whispers on alliances. Ban on Rs 500 and Rs 1000 note just before the election has left all the parties dumbstruck. These days reaching out to voters has changed alot. It requires huge money ranging from managing the rallies, to managing marketing campaigs, to broadcasting advertisements on TVs .
Despite several meetings with Congress, neither SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav or Congress leaders have confirmed any alliance. Meanwhile, strong rivals, the Bahujan Samaj Party and BJP have largely ignored talking about the SP-Congress alliance, brewing their own plans. This new move the current government has added more twist in forming the alliances.
Every election has a convention, the last two UP elections went against formula to see BSP (2007) and SP (2012) come to power. BJP got a paltry 15% share of votes in 2012. They will take a huge confidence booster from their historic 2014 general election win but the recent demonetization will surely has some adverse effect . Congress is floating around other parties and will take more time this time to decide their other half.
Will the UP Elections go the Bihar way, replicating the unlikely RJD and JD(U) alliance victory? Or will the Yadav family fight cost it big time? Will this Demonetisation favour move BJP? or will it hit back them since all opposition parties are unanimously opposing the move.? Everything will depend on how smooth the implementation of demonetisation goes and how current government sells this to Voters!